Sunday, May 12

Global Economics

Looking at economic forecasts for the global economy and the impact of national and multinational policies.

IMF Sees Recession For Global Economy In 2023
2Jan By Patti MohrNo Comments
Global Economics, Types of News: Brief

IMF Sees Recession For Global Economy In 2023

January 2, 2023—International Monetary Fund Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva said the majority of the world should brace itself for an economic slowdown in 2023. In an interview with CBS on Sunday, Georgieva predicted that half the European Union would see recession this year while China's economy is likely to continue to slow down. She said the United States might avoid a negative growth if its labor market remains strong, but that is a "mixed blessing" because it means the Federal Reserve would likely continue raising interest rates. Georgieva, the head of the agency tasked with helping countries avoid economic crisis, said 2023 is likely to be "a tough year, tougher than the year we leave behind." That outlook differs from trends at the end of 2022 when a majority of G...
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U.S. Prices Continue To Climb
10Jun By Patti MohrNo Comments
Global Economics, Types of News: Bit

U.S. Prices Continue To Climb

Inflation Rate Hits 8.6 Percent In The United States June 10, 2022—The Consumer Price Index for U.S. goods and services inched up in May, bringing the U.S. inflation rate to 8.6 percent. Fuel prices rose 16.9 percent for the month and just over 106 percent for the year. Related goods and services like transportation and utility gas services followed with the highest increases on the Dept. of Labor's CPI Data. Meanwhile, prices on used cars and trucks climbed 16 percent higher over the last 12-months. Likewise, food prices rose 10 percent.
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Stagflation Poses Risk To Global Economy, World Bank Says
7Jun By Patti MohrNo Comments
Global Economics, Types of News: Bit

Stagflation Poses Risk To Global Economy, World Bank Says

June 7, 2022—The global economy is entering a period of "feeble growth" mixed with higher inflation, and that poses risks to people in both middle- and low-income countries, the World Bank warned today. The organization adjusted its growth forecasts downward to 2.9 percent for the year. That is considerably lower than last year's expansion of 5.7 percent. The Russian-Ukraine war is taking a toll on growth around the world. Furthermore, fiscal and monetary policies are shifting from accommodation to restraint. World Bank President David Malpass also cited China's lockdowns, supply-chain disruptions, climate, and countries' debt policies as causes for concern. The World Bank's June report compares this era with the stagflation of the 1970s. The bad news is likely to impact poorer cou...
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Why JP Morgan’s Jamie Dimon Warns About An Economic ‘Hurricane’
7Jun By Patti MohrNo Comments
Global Economics, Types of News: Analysis

Why JP Morgan’s Jamie Dimon Warns About An Economic ‘Hurricane’

And How He Is Preparing For The Storm As Head Of One Of The World's Largest Banks JP Morgan head Jamie Dimon spoke at Bernstein's Annual Strategic Decisions Conference on June 1, 2022. June 7, 2022—When Jamie Dimon, chairman and CEO of JP Morgan Chase, warned about an economic "hurricane" on the horizon, much of the world of news and finance took notice. It's not just that Dimon heads up one of Wall Street's largest and most successful firms, it's that he is often right. Moreover, Dimon is normally an optimist. “It's a hurricane,” Dimon said. "Right now, it’s kind of sunny, things are doing fine. Everyone thinks the Fed can handle this. That hurricane is right out there down the road coming our way. We just don’t know if it’s a minor one or Superstorm Sandy or Sandy or Andrew or...
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As Expected, Federal Reserve Raised Its Rate By 50 Basis Points
4May By Patti MohrNo Comments
Currency, Debt, National Budgets & Interest Rates, Global Economics, Types of News: Brief

As Expected, Federal Reserve Raised Its Rate By 50 Basis Points

Photo by Kelly L on Pexels.com May 4, 2022-Global financiers closely watched closely today as the U.S. Federal Reserve raised its Federal Funds rate by 0.50 percent. It marks the first large increase in the Fed rate since 2000. With a balance sheet of $9 trillion and a Fed Funds rate of 0.33 percent up until today, the U.S. Federal Reserve has consider room to maneuver to counter inflation. At the end of its two-day meeting, the Fed announced it would raise that rate to 0.75 to 1 percent. The FOMC statement made note of geopolitical events such as the Russia-Ukraine war and China's aggressive COVID-19 policy of locking down whole cities. Furthermore, the committee said it would consider a wide-range of activities before its next decision. "The Committee would be prepared to ad...
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Globalization In Reverse
19Apr By Patti MohrNo Comments
Global Economics, Globalization, Global Disintegration, Types of News: Quotes, Types of News: Videos

Globalization In Reverse

April 19, 2022—As the IMF warned of a slowdown in the global economy, its staff pointed to a larger issue likely to impact economies around the world for years to come. That issue is the reversal of globalization, which has been in place for decades. Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, IMF Economic Counsellor and Director of the Research Department, described it as such: “The war also increases the risk of a more permanent fragmentation of the world economy into geopolitical blocks with distinct technology standards, cross-border payment systems, and reserve currencies." https://youtu.be/N_PU21dClgA
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IMF Adjusts Economic Forecast for New Fragmented World
19Apr By Patti MohrNo Comments
Global Economics, Globalization, Global Disintegration, Organizations, IMF, WTO, G7, Types of News: Brief

IMF Adjusts Economic Forecast for New Fragmented World

Inflation Expected To Remain High 'For Much Longer' April 19, 2022—War, rising energy costs, and a de-globalizing world are impacting the global economy in large and small ways. The International Monetary Fund is taking note and is adjusting its projection for economic growth to 3.6 percent for 2022 and 2023. That's down from 6.1 percent growth last year. Russia's war on Ukraine and the retaliating sanctions against Russia and Belarus are having the largest impact, according to Pierre-Olivier Courinchas, a lead economist with the IMF. But other factors are weighing down growth prospects too: Inflation, a slowdown in China, and monetary tightening by central banks. Fragmentation Reversing Gains From Globalization The IMF is trying to keep the world integrated, Courinchas said. ...
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Russia Missed Deadline To Pay $117 Million Interest On Bonds
16Mar By Patti MohrNo Comments
Currency, Debt, National Budgets & Interest Rates, Global Economics, Types of News: Brief

Russia Missed Deadline To Pay $117 Million Interest On Bonds

File photo 2018. Russian President Putin meets with Finance Minister Siluanov. Russian Finance Minister Orders Payment Transactions, Says It's Up To Washington To Approve It March 16, 2022--Russia missed a key deadline today to pay $117 million it owes on debt payments on two government bonds. Holders of the dollar-denominated bonds had not received a confirmation of payment at the close of business in London, according to reporting by Reuters. That kicks off a 30-day grace period lasting until April 15. If the Russian government does not make payments by then, creditors can officially declare a default on the bonds. The bonds don't come due until 2023 and 2043, but the interest payments are due now, NPR reported. Impact Of Sanctions Sanctions by a coalition of governments ...
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Global Growth Among G20 Dips Slightly, OECD Says
15Mar By Patti MohrNo Comments
Global Economics, Types of News: Brief

Global Growth Among G20 Dips Slightly, OECD Says

Global Economy Mixed At End Of 2021 March 15, 2022—Economic growth in G20 countries rose at a modest 1.4 percent rate in the final two quarters of 2021, down from the estimated 1.9 percent, according to the OECD. Some countries experienced a slowdown while others increased economic activity. India's decelerating growth accounted for part of the dip. From the third quarter to the fourth quarter, economic growth in India adjusted downward from 13.7 percent to 1.8 percent. Meanwhile, in the European Union, economic growth slowed from 2.2 percent in the third quarter to 0.4 percent in the fourth quarter. In other countries, such as the United States, China, Indonesia, South Africa, Brazil, and Australia, economic growth accelerated.
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US Inflation Reaches 7.9 Percent
10Mar By Patti MohrNo Comments
Global Economics, Types of News: Brief

US Inflation Reaches 7.9 Percent

March 10, 2022--The Consumer Price Index increased to 0.8 percent in February, bringing the annualized inflation rate to 7.9 percent, the Labor Department reported today. The goods with the highest price increases include gasoline, shelter and food. Gas prices rose 6.6 percent in February alone and are continuing to rise. They increased 38 percent for the year. Meanwhile, energy services, such as electricity and utility, rose 43 percent over a 12-month period. Also, the index for food prices experienced the largest monthly jump of 2.3 percent since March 2010. The inflation figures are likely to factor into the Federal Reserve's decision-making meeting on March 15-16. The next release date for inflation figures is April 12.
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